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Biden was on a path to lose the election, because he prioritized swaying "independent" voters, over driving turnout and engagement for the people that have already decided that racism, fascism, and insurrection are bad (Black voters).
Future president Harris is on trajectory to win, because so far she's doing much better with the US democratic base (Black voters).
So when news covers polling of who should be VP, do you think they prioritize Black voters' pick? Or independent voters pick?
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Black voters prefer Harris/Whitmer more than twice as much as they prefer Harris/Buttigieg.
I'm not saying that y'all must choose Whitmer! And Buttigieg is fine. No issues with him.
I'm saying that I haven't seen any evidence that Buttigieg will drive turnout of any demographic that matters, and swing voters aren't real.
Some of y'all are acting like this thing is won already, and it ain't.
It still all comes down to "How many Black people will vote, in key districts, in swing states?"
2/2
@mekkaokereke what about Hispanic voters? The data suggests they prefer Buttigieg more than 3x as much as Whitmer, so I assume your argument also involves something it doesn't show, like Hispanic vote distribution in key districts/swing states, or expected turnout?
Asking as a Brazilian living in the EU that follows the US election because of how it would affect NATO and therefore my family's safety, no personal agenda beyond that, I'm just trying to understand how things work over there.
@mekkaokereke@hachyderm.io1. Black voters are 4x as potent as white voters in terms of swinging an election:
https://hachyderm.io/@mekkaokereke/112858319911347576
2. Hispanic voters can be Black, white, indigenous, etc. Something most people even in the US forget, is that most Hispanic people in the US, are white.
Kiko Alonso is Hispanic. Kiko Alonso is white.
https://youtu.be/hGLNunYWJf4
Karla Souza is Hispanic. Karla Souza is white.
https://youtu.be/fBamkF0lp_M
Cameron Diaz is Hispanic. Cameron Diaz is white.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1yOjH-bqkys
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Hispanic voters are not a monolith. And many voters from South America have seen real far-left politics.
There are no far-left politicians in the US. None. But the far-left does exist in South America, and some Hispanic voters have seen what that looks like.
So when the US right says a woman named Alexandria Ocasio Cortes wants to bring socialism to America, it scares them. They don't think "free college, healthcare, and bike lanes." They think "narco terror."