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Predict-o-simulation for the final CWC table (NRR =~= ELO).

Before #INDRSA.

RSA 1.3712
IND 1.6504
AUS 2.9790
NZL 4.1054

After RSA capitulated, ENG-style, …

IND 1.0000
RSA 2.0716

Annoyingly, they’re still safe because the only teams left that could get >= 12 points are AFG and AUS which would, at best, push RSA down to 4th. That would require: AFG narrow-win AUS, AFG large-win RSA, AUS large-win BAN, and the NRRs working out.

social.rjp.isAkkoma

@smurthys Average finish position based on the current league table and upcoming fixtures sampled over about 2M simulations using NRR to calculate win/lose/draw probability.