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Dr Mircea Zloteanu 🌼🐝<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/statstab" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statstab</a> #255 The p-value and model specification in statisticsThoughts: Little thought is given to the appropriateness of the test and its assumptions.<a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/pvalues" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#pvalues</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nhst" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nhst</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/nullhypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nullhypothesis</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/testing" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#testing</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/ttest" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ttest</a> <a href="https://mastodon.social/tags/fisher" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#fisher</a><a href="https://gpsych.bmj.com/content/32/3/e100081" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://gpsych.bmj.com/content/32/3/e100081</a>

Eric Maugendre"In real life, we weigh the anticipated consequences of the decisions that we are about to make. That approach is much more rational than limiting the percentage of making the error of one kind in an artificial (null hypothesis) setting or using a measure of evidence for each model as the weight." Longford (2005) <a href="http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/stuff_for_blog/longford.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~gelman/stuff_for_blog/longford.pdf</a><a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/modeling" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#modeling</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/nullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#nullHypothesis</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probability</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probabilities" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probabilities</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/pValues" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#pValues</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statistics</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#stats</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statisticalLiteracy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statisticalLiteracy</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/bias" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#bias</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/inference" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#inference</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/modelling" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#modelling</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/regression" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#regression</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/linearRegression" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#linearRegression</a>

Eric MaugendreSurveys, coincidences, statistical significance 🧵"What Educated Citizens Should Know About Statistics and Probability" By Jessica Utts, in 2003: <a href="https://ics.uci.edu/~jutts/AmerStat2003.pdf" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://ics.uci.edu/~jutts/AmerStat2003.pdf</a> via <a href="https://hachyderm.io/@hrefna" class="u-url mention">@hrefna</a> <a href="https://a.gup.pe/u/edutooters" class="u-url mention">@edutooters</a><a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/nullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#nullHypothesis</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probability</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probabilities" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probabilities</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/pValues" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#pValues</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statistics</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#stats</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/education" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#education</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/higherEd" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#higherEd</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statisticalLiteracy" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statisticalLiteracy</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/bias" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#bias</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/media" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#media</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/causalInference" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#causalInference</a>

guyjantic has moved!Something I can't say on <a href="https://c.im/tags/facebook" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#facebook</a> without repercussions from family and friends: faith is dead, long live faith.I left the <a href="https://c.im/tags/lds" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#lds</a> church after about 40 years (Exodus joke here). The main reason was that I just stopped believing all the doctrine. Every "spiritual experience" I'd ever had could finally be explained much more easily by basic things I understood about humans and myself than by religious concepts.And since then I have those "spiritual experiences" over and over. I feel what I would have once identified as The Spirit when I read about refugees or people who overcame great odds; when I hear moving music or watch an emotional scene in a movie.The past few days I've been having spiritual experiences every time I feel a glimmer of hope for the continued existence of my democracy, or when I read about ways of helping vulnerable populations survive this administration.I said "long life <a href="https://c.im/tags/faith" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#faith</a>" but that's not quite right. I don't have the kind of faith I had as a religious Mormon person. I am working on whether faith is a relevant concept anymore, for me. Hope, however--hope is something I understand and need.<a href="https://c.im/tags/hope" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#hope</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/spiritual" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#spiritual</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/mormon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#mormon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/exmormon" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#exmormon</a> <a href="https://c.im/tags/nullhypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#nullhypothesis</a>

Eric Maugendre<a href="https://mastodon.social/@level98" class="u-url mention">@level98</a> 😀 There even wikipedia on the "Misuse of p-values": <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misuse_of_p-values" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Misuse_of_p-values</a>I therefore am adding to my guidelines: "Instead of telling researchers what they want to know, statisticians should teach researchers which questions they can ask. […] Before we can improve our statistical inferences, we need to improve our statistical questions."Excerpt from Daniël Lakens (2021) <a href="https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1745691620958012" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no">https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/1745691620958012</a><a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/quotes" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#quotes</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/nullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#nullHypothesis</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probability</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/math" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#math</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/pValues" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#pValues</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/maths" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#maths</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/AIEthics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#AIEthics</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/ML" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ML</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statistics</a>

Eric MaugendreIn 2016, the American Statistical Association <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/ASA" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ASA</a> made a formal statement that "a p-value, or statistical significance, does not measure the size of an effect or the importance of a result".It also stated that "p-values do not measure the probability that the studied hypothesis is true, or the probability that the data were produced by random chance alone".<a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/nullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#nullHypothesis</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probabilities" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probabilities</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/probability" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#probability</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/maths" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#maths</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/mathematics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#mathematics</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/vectors" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#vectors</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/data" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#data</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/bigData" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#bigData</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/matrices" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#matrices</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/ML" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#ML</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/distributions" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#distributions</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/stats" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#stats</a> <a href="https://hachyderm.io/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="tag">#statistics</a>

Answers in ReasonMisunderstanding the Null Hypothesis: Answers In Reason Misunderstanding the Null <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Science</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/hypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#hypothesis</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/hypotheses" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#hypotheses</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/HypothesisTesting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HypothesisTesting</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/NullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NullHypothesis</a>

Coach Pāṇini ®I hold an undergraduate degree in <a href="https://mastodon.world/tags/engineering" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#engineering</a> from the flagship land-grant institution of a Southern state in a drinking town with a football problem.You want to blame universities for <a href="https://mastodon.world/tags/CriticalTheory" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#CriticalTheory</a>, post-<a href="https://mastodon.world/tags/ColonialStudies" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#ColonialStudies</a>, and <a href="https://mastodon.world/tags/IdentityPolitics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#IdentityPolitics</a>, but I’m your <a href="https://mastodon.world/tags/NullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NullHypothesis</a>.GTFOH

Answers in ReasonIs Atheism the Null Hypothesis / Default Position?: Godless Scummer <a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBTgsWhwjBk" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PBTgsWhwjBk</a> Want to give some thoughts upon a recent tweet by Matt Dillahunty on whether Atheism is the Null Hypothesis,Please check out this short video by Answers In Reason.<a href="https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKMpeq0i760&t=186s" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" translate="no" target="_blank">https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YKMpeq0i760&t=186s</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Science" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Science</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Philosophy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Philosophy</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/hypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#hypothesis</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/PhilosophiesOf" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PhilosophiesOf</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/AnswersinReason" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#AnswersinReason</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/hypotheses" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#hypotheses</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/PhilosophyOfReligion" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#PhilosophyOfReligion</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/POR" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#POR</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/HypothesisTesting" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#HypothesisTesting</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Theism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Theism</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Atheism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Atheism</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/Nontheism" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Nontheism</a> <a href="https://masto.nu/tags/NullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NullHypothesis</a>

David Michael Self<a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Candy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Candy</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Statistics</a> Round 2: <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Skittles" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Skittles</a> I don't think I need to calculate the p-value for this. There's fewer yellows, but not that much fewer. Unlike <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Starburst" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Starburst</a>, Skittles seem to be pretty fair. <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/NullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NullHypothesis</a> accepted.<a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Candy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Candy</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/statistics" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#statistics</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Candy" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Candy</a> <a href="https://mstdn.social/tags/Math" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Math</a>

Thomas Holtz<a href="https://sciencemastodon.com/tags/NewPaper" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NewPaper</a> <a href="https://sciencemastodon.com/tags/Archaeology" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#Archaeology</a> <a href="https://sciencemastodon.com/tags/NullHypothesis" class="mention hashtag" rel="nofollow noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">#NullHypothesis</a>Eren, M., Bebber, M., Buchanan, B., Grunow, A., Key, A., Lycett, S., . . . Riley, T. (2023). Antarctica as a ‘natural laboratory’ for the critical assessment of the archaeological validity of early stone tool sites. Antiquity, 97(392), 472-482. doi:10.15184/aqy.2023.4

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