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and also source code access will continue to be denied to assessors despite source assisted tests being vastly greater value for all involved

ransomware groups will continue to absolutely shithouse major companies using really low-hanging techniques and legislators will blather on about doing something about it for another 12 months unless maybe someone says china did it and then racism might get them off their ass and we'll all be deeply disillusioned about it

Bloomberg will continue to have the same highly accurate and well informed technical reporting as they have displayed in prior years

on the plus side there will be some funny vulnerability names

also someone will overhype the absolute shit out of a bug that turns out to be a complete nothingburger. I'm gonna guess... something related to USB-C.

someone will try to make a thing that competes with Signal and it will go very badly and soatok will begrudgingly write a blog post about it

UPDATE: just 15 days into 2025 and it came true: http://soatok.blog/2025/01/14/dont-use-session-signal-fork/

Microsoft will get owned using creds stolen from Recall on one of their staff's systems

(this one is less of a prediction and more of a "please I need this to happen because it would be a gem of pure amusement in an otherwise cold and indifferent world")

IBM will announce a blockchain security product

Quantum computers will be able to factor a bigger number but it will still be small enough that you could validate the result on a $5 calculator. The tech press will claim it breaks AES.

linux kernel people will yell about rust being a cult and then write code containing 5827417 instances of undefined behaviour while remaining smug about their incredible coding skills and then call it a witch hunt against them when everyone gets fucking owned as a result

3 billion devices will, regrettably, continue to run Java

jonathandata will return to the fray (either him or nicky lemon)

someone will intentionally burn down a datacenter