I'm glad I'm seeing pushback by @mekkaokereke against the "women hiding their votes from their husbands" meme. I'm sure it exists, but it's not a big factor, and in exit polls in the US, married women vote almost the same as married men - the gender gap is about younger and unmarried voters, whereas a large majority of women married to Republican men are Republican themselves. Go to https://edition.cnn.com/election/2020/exit-polls/president/national-results and scroll down to gender by marital status.
@Alon @mekkaokereke this argument isn't at all persuasive to me because the effect of a voter narrative like this isn't just for the specific character in the ad! It's about foregrounding a shared fate narrative that might motivate people (including those unmarried women) to feel that their actions will align with their values and are possible. It's strategy *not* because someone is imagining a large effect only from this subgroup but because the shared fate message could matter to many
@Alon @mekkaokereke it's very clear gender is a predictor *within groups* for this election, and that's very striking. Everyone votes like their household, that doesn't mean every household is motivated to vote while they imagine *other* households. This ad is for sure an identity play but I don't think it's making the play you seem to think it is.
@Alon @mekkaokereke whether or not it's executed well, people's beliefs about why they're voting matter and it would be really silly for this political party to not make a play on this when there's a gender split that's observable within groups here
The Harris campaign is *really* well run. I honestly think that it is the best run campaign in US presidential history.
Harris has had to clean up clumsy words dropped by Biden and Obama that drove away Black men voters.
https://hachyderm.io/@mekkaokereke/113309611321284023
There's a reason that the Harris campaign distanced itself from this ad, and even the stickers, and is vocal about the need to earn the votes of Black men.
The Harris campaign is limited in what it can say. Not being able to state clearly that white women do about half of the racism in the US, and that more than half of all white women vote for Trump, and that most have full agency, makes it impossible for them to then say "some women vote for Trump only because they're forced to by their partners!" without sounding like they're minimizing the accountability of white women voters. So they don't say it.
Something I realized just this year: most white people don't know how often Black people experience racist outbursts from white women.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=b5k8bkWYyPQ
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=nw-QQokdIzg
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Lz3q0baxHpc
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=yXNKOEd-lgI
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=tf7C6sTqTGk
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=1VNikzrSdms
Trying to paint these people as victims without agency, decreases Black voter turnout. It makes us not trust you. I don't trust people that think that almost all racism comes from white men.